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Monday AM Forecast: quiet weather early in week, tracking cold front and future Helene

1 month 3 weeks 1 day ago Monday, September 23 2024 Sep 23, 2024 September 23, 2024 1:18 PM September 23, 2024 in Forecast Discussion
Source: The Storm Station

Monday and Tuesday of this week will feature above average temperatures, and mainly dry conditions. By Wednesday, a cold front will approach the area bringing increased rain chances, but it will also play an important roll in the track of future Helene (more below). 

Today & Tonight: The very warm and mainly dry pattern continues today. Highs will get into the mid 90's under mostly sunny skies. A few locations could see a shower, but the vast majority will stay dry. Tonight, lows will be near 73 degrees under mostly clear skies.

Up Next: We will continue the pattern on Tuesday, but some changes will be noticed by the middle of the week. A cold front will be approaching from the northwest, and as the front arrives, it will cause isolated showers and thunderstorms. The latest guidance seem to indicate a frontal passage by Thursday. This would leave the region with a reduction in temperatures, dip in humidity, and lack of rain chances late this week and into the weekend. That said, this is still a couple of days away, and there is the potential for things to shift around a bit.

The cold front will also play an important role with the track of the tropical disturbance that will enter the Gulf of Mexico (see The Tropics section). Those that see the passage of said front will also be shielded from major tropical impacts. Areas east of the front could end up seeing impacts from an organized tropical system. Should new data indicate that Louisiana does not see a clean cold front passage, potential tropical impacts could come into play by late week. For that reason, it will be important to stay up to date with the latest Storm Station this week.


Get the latest 7-day forecast and real time weather updates HERE.

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The Tropics: The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine on Monday morning. This system will likely become Hurricane Helene in the coming days. Find out the latest on this storm HERE.

A tropical wave located between western Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter part of this week while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.


-- Balin

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